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Scottsdale Arcadia Market Data

Market Data · Updated July 2026
By Anne Sostman | The Brokery | License SA718853000

Scottsdale, Paradise Valley & Arcadia
What the First Half of 2026 Actually Did.

ARMLS · Single-Family Detached · January 1 – June 30, 2026

Every figure on this page comes from ARMLS sold data for January 1 through June 30, 2026, measured against the same period in 2025, for single-family detached homes. No estimates, no projections. Where a number is derived rather than reported, it says so.

“Averages across a city hide the story. Arcadia and South Scottsdale both had a strong first half, but for completely opposite reasons — one on price, one on volume. Knowing which one describes your street is the difference between pricing well and guessing.”
— Anne Sostman
$1.72M
Scottsdale average sale price, up 4%
$5.84M
Paradise Valley average, up 17%
+52%
Arcadia sales volume, the largest gain
97%
Scottsdale sale-to-list, unchanged
Source: ARMLS Sold Market Analysis
Single-Family Detached
Jan 1 – Jun 30, 2026 vs 2025
Updated July 2026
Published by Anne Sostman

The Headline

Three Markets. Three Different Stories.

Scottsdale sold 2,487 single-family homes in the first half of 2026, up 14% from 2,177 a year earlier, at an average of $1,722,519 — a 4% increase. Sale-to-list held at 97%, and days to close rose from 76 to 83. Total volume reached $4.28 billion, up 19%. That is a market absorbing more inventory at steadily rising prices without giving up negotiating position.

Paradise Valley tells a different story: 199 homes sold, essentially flat against 198 last year, but the average sale price jumped 17% to $5,840,018 and volume rose 18% to $1.16 billion. Flat unit count with a 17% price increase means the mix moved upmarket, not that every home appreciated 17%. Sale-to-list eased from 96% to 95%, and days to close sat at 101.

Scottsdale · 85251–85266
2,487 sold (+14%) · avg $1,722,519 (+4%) · 97% of list · 83 days to close · $4.28B volume (+19%)
Paradise Valley · 85253
199 sold (+1%) · avg $5,840,018 (+17%) · 95% of list · 101 days to close · $1.16B volume (+18%)
Arcadia · 85018
256 sold (+21%) · avg $2,276,950 (+26%) · 96% of list · 81 days to close · volume up 52%

Section 01 — Arcadia

Arcadia Had the Strongest First Half.

Of every area measured, Arcadia moved the most. 256 single-family homes sold against 212 a year earlier — a 21% increase — at an average of $2,276,950, up 26%. Total sales volume rose 52%, the largest gain anywhere in the three markets.

Both figures moving together is what makes it notable. Rising volume alone can mean a market clearing inventory at soft prices; rising price alone can mean a handful of large sales distorting the average. Arcadia did both at once, while holding 96% of list and closing in 81 days. For sellers, that is the clearest evidence of genuine demand depth in the corridor.

Section 02 — By Area

Scottsdale Is Not One Market. Here Is the Proof.

Broken out by zip code, the spread between Scottsdale's submarkets is wider than the citywide average suggests — from an average sale price under $700,000 in one area to nearly $2.4 million in another, in the same six months.

North · 85255
DC Ranch, Silverleaf, Grayhawk. 560 sold (+21%), the largest single submarket. Average $2,324,310 (+7%), volume +30%.
North · 85262
Troon, Desert Mountain, Estancia. 289 sold (+3%), average $2,307,671 (+3%), volume +6% — the steadiest area measured.
North · 85266
The Carefree edge, including Winfield. 212 sold (+12%), average $1,699,007 (+7%), volume +20%.
Central · 85254
The Kierland corridor. 359 sold (+16%), average $1,196,986 (+2%), volume +18%.
Central · 85258
McCormick Ranch and Gainey Ranch. 235 sold (+27%), average $1,543,487 (+4%), volume +32%.
Central · 85259
Ancala and Scottsdale Mountain. 212 sold, average $1,598,960 (-1%), volume -1% — the only area flat on every measure.
Central · 85260
220 sold (+15%), average $1,498,976 (+6%), volume +21%.
Old Town · 85251
135 sold (-4%) — the only area with fewer sales — but the average rose 10% to $1,875,794.
South · 85257
168 sold (+44%), the largest volume jump in units. Average $672,553, down 5%. Volume +37%.

Section 03 — What It Means

Reading These Numbers as a Seller.

**South Scottsdale and Old Town moved in opposite directions, and both are healthy.** South Scottsdale sold 44% more homes at a 5% lower average — that is an affordability-driven market widening its buyer pool, not a market weakening. Old Town sold slightly fewer homes at a 10% higher average — fewer transactions, better ones. A seller in either area who reads only the citywide number will price wrong.

**Days to close lengthened almost everywhere.** Scottsdale moved from 76 to 83 days, Arcadia from 76 to 81. Meanwhile days on market for *active* listings fell 20% in both Scottsdale and Paradise Valley. Active inventory is moving faster; closings are taking longer. Plan your timeline around the closing figure, not the listing one.

**Sale-to-list is the number to watch.** Scottsdale held 97%, Arcadia 96%, Paradise Valley slipped to 95%. Those are strong ratios — but they describe correctly priced homes. A property that launches above the market does not get the average; it gets a reduction and a longer clock.

Section 04 — Method

Where These Numbers Come From.

Stated plainly, so you can judge the data yourself.

1
Source
ARMLS Sold Market Analysis, report date July 20, 2026. Single-family detached only — condos, townhomes, and patio homes are excluded.
2
Period
January 1 to June 30, 2026, compared against January 1 to June 30, 2025. Half-year totals, not monthly or annualized.
3
Verification
Each area's figures were checked so that reported sales volume divided by average sale price equals the reported number of sales. Paradise Valley cross-checks identically between the citywide and zip-level reports.
4
What Is Not Here
No months-of-supply figure, because the source does not distinguish point-in-time from cumulative active inventory. No price-band or neighborhood-level splits — zip code is the finest resolution available in this report.

Common Questions

Questions Buyers and Owners Ask Most.

What is the average home price in Scottsdale in 2026?
For single-family detached homes sold between January 1 and June 30, 2026, the average sale price in Scottsdale was $1,722,519 — up 4% from $1,653,320 in the same period of 2025, across 2,487 sales (ARMLS). The figure varies widely by submarket: roughly $672,553 in 85257 to $2,324,310 in 85255.
What is the average home price in Paradise Valley?
$5,840,018 for single-family homes sold in the first half of 2026, up 17% from $4,976,613 a year earlier, across 199 sales (ARMLS). Unit sales were essentially flat, so the increase reflects a shift toward higher-priced properties rather than uniform appreciation.
How is the Arcadia real estate market doing?
Arcadia (85018) had the strongest first half of any area measured. 256 single-family homes sold, up 21%, at an average of $2,276,950 — up 26% — with total sales volume rising 52%. Homes sold at 96% of list price and took 81 days to close (ARMLS, Jan–Jun 2026).
How long does it take to sell a home in Scottsdale?
Single-family homes closing in the first half of 2026 averaged 83 days from contract to close, up from 76 days a year earlier. Notably, days on market for active listings fell about 20% over the same period — inventory is being absorbed faster while the closing process itself is taking longer (ARMLS).
Are homes selling for asking price in Scottsdale?
Close to it. Scottsdale single-family homes sold at an average of 97% of list price in the first half of 2026, unchanged from 2025. Arcadia averaged 96% and Paradise Valley 95%, down one point. These ratios describe correctly priced homes — a listing that launches above the market typically takes a reduction rather than achieving the average.

Work With Anne

Want These Numbers for Your Street?

Zip-code data is the finest resolution published. Your pocket, your price band, and your product type behave differently — and that analysis is the one that matters before you list.

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