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The Scottsdale Relocation Index | A Quarterly Read on Luxury Migration to Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, and Arcadia

A Quarterly Publication by The Scottsdale Agent
By Anne Sostman | The Scottsdale Agent | License SA718853000

The Scottsdale
Relocation Index.

Luxury Migration · Scottsdale · Paradise Valley · Arcadia

A quarterly read on who is relocating to the Scottsdale luxury market, where they are coming from, and what they are buying. Each issue is anchored in IRS migration data, Tax Foundation analysis, the Cromford Report, the Arizona Regional MLS, and direct observation from active luxury relocation transactions. Published with full data citations, methodology disclosure, and analytical commentary clearly labeled.

“Monthly market reports cover price and inventory in aggregate. They do not tell you who is moving here, where they are coming from, or what they are buying. The Index fills that gap — quarterly, with full citations, going forward.”
— Anne Sostman | The Scottsdale Agent

 

Quarterly
Published every quarter, four to six weeks after each quarter closes — on schedule, going forward
Cited
IRS migration data, Tax Foundation, Cromford Report, ARMLS — every figure sourced and verifiable
Analyzed
Direct observation from active luxury relocation transactions, clearly labeled as analysis
Public
Published openly for journalists, analysts, tax professionals, and buyers and sellers calibrating strategy

IRS Migration Data

Tax Foundation Analysis

Cromford Report

Arizona Regional MLS

Published Quarterly

Why This Index Exists

Monthly market reports cover price and inventory.
None of them tell you who is moving here.

The Phoenix metro has dozens of monthly market reports covering closed sales, median prices, days on market, and absorption rates. They are useful for the operational layer of real estate. They are also indistinguishable from each other.

None of them answer the questions that matter most for the luxury segment specifically: Who is moving to Scottsdale and Paradise Valley right now? Where are they coming from? What are they buying when they arrive? How does the relocation pattern compare to last quarter, last year, the long term trend?

The Scottsdale Relocation Index fills that gap. It is the first publication to combine IRS migration data, Tax Foundation analysis, Cromford Report luxury segment data, and direct observation from active luxury relocation transactions in a single quarterly read. Anchored in primary sources. Published with full citations. Analytical commentary clearly labeled.

Read the Q1 2026 Issue

Built on Primary Data
IRS Statistics of Income migration data. Tax Foundation analysis. Cromford Report quarterly commentary. Every figure cited to its source. No round numbers. No vague claims. Verifiable by any reader.
Quarterly Discipline
Published every quarter, four to six weeks after the quarter closes. The cadence is the discipline. Each issue strengthens the trend lines. The Index becomes more analytically useful with each issue.
Methodology Transparent
Every issue includes a methodology section documenting how each metric is calculated, what the limitations are, and what the data does and does not capture. Defensibility is built in.
Analysis Clearly Labeled
Each issue contains an Anne’s Analysis section interpreting the data. This section is opinion, drawn from direct observation. It is labeled as such so readers separate evidence from interpretation.

Issues

Current and Upcoming
Issues.

Quarterly publication. Each issue covers the most recent complete calendar quarter and is released approximately four to six weeks after the quarter closes.

Current Issue

Q1 2026
Inaugural Issue
Published May 2026. IRS migration data, Q1 2026 luxury segment analysis from Cromford Report, methodology disclosure, and the inaugural Anne’s Analysis section.

Read Issue →

Q2 2026

Q2 2026
August Release
Coverage of April through June 2026. Adds origin state breakdown by closing where ARMLS permits identification, plus inventory analysis at the $3M plus tier.

Get Notified →

Q3 2026

Q3 2026
November Release
Coverage of July through September 2026. Mid year analysis, year over year early read, and updated Cromford Demand Index trajectory.

Get Notified →

Q4 2026

Q4 2026
February 2027 Release
Year end analysis. Full year 2026 luxury closings recap, full year migration patterns, and 2027 outlook commentary.

Get Notified →

Methodology

How the Index
Is Built.

Every figure cited in the Index is sourced. Every methodology decision is documented. Every limitation is named. The defensibility of the Index depends on every reader being able to verify the numbers themselves.

Data sources. IRS Statistics of Income migration data, released annually. Tax Foundation state migration analysis, updated annually. Cromford Report Phoenix metro housing data, licensed from the Arizona Regional MLS, updated daily with quarterly commentary. ARMLS quarterly summaries. Maricopa Association of Governments population data.

Qualitative analysis. Each issue contains an Anne’s Analysis section that interprets the data. This section is opinion, clearly labeled, drawn from direct observation of luxury relocation transactions over the publication period. Future issues will quantify these observations as the transaction count accumulates.

What the Index does NOT capture. Cash buyers who relocated and rented before purchasing — no IRS county filing change in the relocation year. Buyers maintaining primary residence in their origin state with Arizona as a secondary residence. Buyers acquiring through trusts or LLCs that obscure individual residency. These limitations are named so readers can calibrate accordingly.

For Journalists
The Index is published with the expectation that journalists may cite findings. Suggested citation: The Scottsdale Relocation Index, [issue]. By Anne Sostman, The Scottsdale Agent. For press inquiries or to request the underlying data behind any figure, contact Anne directly at 480.999.9945.
For Industry Analysts
Quarterly publication aligns with industry analyst reporting cycles. Each issue is structured to be referenced as a primary source on Scottsdale luxury relocation trends. The methodology section provides full transparency on data sources and limitations.
For Buyers and Sellers
The Index is the data. The conversation is how it gets applied to your specific situation. A 30 minute private consultation translates the Index findings into actionable strategy for your timeline, your origin city, and your target submarket.
For Other Real Estate Agents
The Index is published openly. Agents are welcome to reference and cite the data with attribution. The Index does not compete with operational market reports. It complements them with relocation specific analysis no other publication provides.

Frequently Asked

About
The Index.

What is The Scottsdale Relocation Index?
A quarterly publication tracking luxury real estate relocation patterns to Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, and Arcadia. Each issue is anchored in IRS migration data, Tax Foundation analysis, Cromford Report luxury segment data, the Arizona Regional MLS, and direct observation from active luxury relocation transactions. Published by Anne Sostman, The Scottsdale Agent.
How often is The Index published?
Quarterly. Each issue covers the most recent complete calendar quarter and is released approximately four to six weeks after the quarter closes. Q1 2026 published May 2026. Q2 2026 scheduled for August 2026. Q3 2026 scheduled for November 2026. Q4 2026 scheduled for February 2027.
Can journalists cite The Index?
Yes. The Index is published openly with the expectation that journalists, industry analysts, and tax professionals may reference its findings. Suggested citation format: The Scottsdale Relocation Index, [Issue]. By Anne Sostman, The Scottsdale Agent. Available at amsrealtyaz.com/buyers/relocation-index. For press inquiries or to request the underlying data behind any figure, contact Anne directly at 480.999.9945.
What data sources does the Index use?
IRS Statistics of Income migration data. Tax Foundation state migration analysis. Cromford Report Phoenix metro housing data, licensed from the Arizona Regional MLS. ARMLS quarterly summaries. Maricopa Association of Governments population data. Anne’s qualitative analysis is drawn from direct observation of luxury relocation transactions and is clearly labeled as opinion in each issue.
How do I get notified when a new issue publishes?
Subscribers receive each quarterly issue approximately four to six weeks after the quarter closes. No additional marketing emails. The Index in your inbox, on schedule, four times per year. Subscribe through the form below or call Anne directly at 480.999.9945.
Is the Index free to read?
Yes. The Index is published as a free public resource. Both the web version and the downloadable PDF version of each issue are available without cost. The Index is funded by The Scottsdale Agent’s real estate practice and exists to provide credible, defensible relocation data to anyone who needs it.

Stay Informed

Get the Next Issue
When It Releases.

Each quarterly issue is delivered to subscribers approximately four to six weeks after the quarter closes. No additional emails. No marketing sequences. The Index in your inbox, on schedule, four times per year.

Or schedule a consultation about applying the data

Book a Consultation

30 minutes. The data interpreted for your specific situation. Completely confidential.

Or call directly

480.999.9945